Race prediction

One line on what this page does.

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1 Select race2 Parameters

Select a race

Search races

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Race parameters

Race toughness

How hard the race is expected to be raced — from everything coming back together for a bunch sprint, to a war of attrition decided by solo moves.

SprintSelect sprintSufferfest

Not used for time trials — the finish is a pure time-trial result.

Race type

'Time trial' predicts an individual time trial: the finish mix becomes pure TT and the sliders below switch to TT-typical ranges.

Race Time Trial

Finish terrain type

Flat Punch Mtn Finish

Overall terrain type

Combines with finish terrain to pick the profile class the model was trained on.

Flat Hilly Mountain

Vertical meters

Distance

Average speed

Scenario date

Leave blank for today. Set a past date to use historical rider signals.

The available date range will appear here in a moment.

Prediction results

Short explanation of how to read this table.

Hypothetical race

Set the levers yourself and predict a race of your own making.

Predicting…

No prediction yet.

Pick a race and set the parameters, then predict. Everything you choose is applied together.

?How the predicted pecking order and each rider's chance of winning shift as the race character moves from a bunch sprint to a war of attrition. The charts draw the riders who top the prediction anywhere on that range (up to 8) — with 8 or fewer riders selected, exactly your selection is compared instead. Computed when you open this tab; recompute after changing the race, selection or settings.Computing curves — this takes a few moments...

Run a prediction, then open this tab to compute the curves.

Replace the startlist: paste one below and click Match Riders.

Matching...

Or fetch an expected startlist from a ProCyclingStats URL — useful for future races that are not searchable in the race picker yet.